Monday, November 25, 2013

2013 Bowl Projections Week 14

The selection order for the BCS is:

1) National Championship
2) National Championship
3) Bowl that lost a representative to the first NC pick
4) Bowl that lost a representative to the second NC pick
5) Orange Bowl
6) Sugar Bowl
7) Fiesta Bowl



BCS National Championship Game: Florida State v. Alabama
Even if Jameis Winston is suspended I don't see the Seminoles losing to Florida or Duke.  Alabama should have no problem with Auburn this week but that game against Missouri could be a sneaky upset potential game as Mizzou has the tall receivers and fast paced offense which Texas A&M used to put up over 40 points on the Tide.  The Tigers also have a solid defense which the Aggies have lacked all season.

Rose Bowl: Michigan State v. Stanford
I picked MSU to upset Ohio State in this game weeks ago and my pick hasn't changed.  If Jameis Winston is suspended there is a chance Ohio State could jump FSU in the polls should they win out but more than likely this will be the B1G champion vs. the Pac 12 champion like god intended.
Sugar Bowl: Missouri v. UCF
Auburn is a possibility here but I think Mike Slive will pull some strings to get Missouri into this game.  Also, any bowl selection committee member who watched these two teams probably knows Mizzou is the only one of them that can pass worth a damn so there is that.  UCF gets in here as the American Athletic Conference champion.
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State v. Northern Illinois
Le sigh.  The Cowboys have all but cemented this position with their win over Baylor this past weekend and the Huskies jumped Fresno State in the polls this weekend meaning they need to win out to get a guaranteed berth here.
 
 Orange Bowl: Clemson v. Ohio State
This pick hasn't changed.  With the Buckeyes losing to Michigan State the Orange Bowl has first crack at them in the at large selection order.  Clemson replaces Florida State here for the BCS.  If Ohio State were to go to the Rose Bowl I would replace them with Wisconsin here and if they went to the BCS title game this would be Florida State v. Oregon.

Sunday, November 3, 2013

2013 Bowl Projections Week 11

The selection order for the BCS is:

1) National Championship
2) National Championship
3) Bowl that lost a representative to the first NC pick
4) Bowl that lost a representative to the second NC pick
5) Orange Bowl

6) Sugar Bowl
7) Fiesta Bowl



BCS National Championship Game: Florida State v. Alabama
I think Oregon will lose a game somewhere along the way as will Alabama.  The Tide win the SEC title game though and they take on the undefeated Seminoles in the National title game.

Rose Bowl: Michigan State v. Stanford
The Spartans end up winning the Big Ten title, upsetting undefeated Ohio State and keeping the Buckeyes out of the National Title Game.  The Cardinal won in Autzen last season and I think they manage to defeat the Ducks again in Palo Alto this year sending them to Pasadena to face the Spartans.

Sugar Bowl: Auburn v. UCF
The Sugar Bowl could take a Big XII team here like Texas Tech or Texas if those teams remained competitive but I don't think either of those teams will finished ranked high enough to merit a selection over 11-1 Oregon.  Auburn is here for as Alabama's replacement after going 10-2.

Fiesta Bowl: Baylor v. Northern Illinois
Worst. Fiesta Bowl. Ever.  The Bears suffer a loss but still manage to get the Big XII's Fiesta Bowl berth.  Fresno State loses it's rematch with Boise State in the MWC Championship Game to keep the Bulldogs out of the BCS.
 
 Orange Bowl: Clemson v. Ohio State
The Buckeyes have only one loss on the season but they are a national name that travels extremely well and wasn't in a bowl game last year which maeks them the obvious first at large selection.  I have Clemson being taken as Florida State's replacement but don't be surprised if they take Miami, Oregon, or Baylor instead.