Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Expansion Round 1 Epilogue



So expansion has come and gone, and it seems a little anticlimactic.  Boise State went to the Mountain West.  Nebraska went to the Big Ten.  Colorado and Utah have gone to the Pac 10, but it could have been so much worse.  I am sure people in Lawrence and Ames are celebrating the fact that Texas kept their conference together by getting what could or couldn't be (the exact details of the deal are still hazy) one of the most lopsided conference television deals ever.  The folks in Dan Beebe's office likely are patting themselves on the back for selling the conference members on a television deal that doesn't actually exist yet.

I grew up in Kansas City and I know how people there are elated to hear that the conference that allowed the city that we love to enjoy college sports so close to home was going to live to fight another day.  But I want to ask my friends back home, and perhaps the fine folks in Ames, Lawrence, Manhattan, Columbia, and the Big XII offices, one question, what do we do to prevent this in the future?

Friday, June 11, 2010

Nebraska to the Big Ten: Who deserves the blame?


This video now accompanies all discussion of conference realignment and the Big XII


Today the University of Nebraska-Lincoln announced that it will be joining the Big Ten conference in the 2011-2012 season.  It really wasn't a shock since we really knew it was going to happen since Thursday.

I will get to welcoming the Cornhuskers later, there is one issue here that I honestly think deserves a little more attention right now because the National Media, particularly Daivd Ubben of ESPN, has this completely wrong.

Who do we blame for the demise of the Big XII conference?

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

It has become a little difficult to ignore the fever pitch volume that expansion rumors have reached recently. The Colorado Board of Regents ismeeting tonight to discuss possibly moving to the Pac10, the Big XII has issued ultimatums to Nebraska and Missouri, Baylor and Kansas are pleading for their fellow conference members to stay, and the Big Ten is still rummored to be chasing Notre Dame.
It is big, and rightfully so. This could ultimatly change the way we watch college football for the next 100 years, or maybe not.
We don't really know what is going on. Until someone goes on the record saying "Team A is going to go (stay with) conference B" we don't have any evidence that any expansion will happen at all.
What is important to remember at this point is that everyone wants something. Some want change (Missouri, Nebraska, presumably the Big Ten) some want the status quo (Notre Dame, Dan Beebe, the Kansas schools) but to them, the reality has hit that not everything is in their control. As the philosopher Jagger so eloquently put it:

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Someone has to lose here, whether it is Jim Delaney or Jamie Pollard (though to be fair Jamie Pollard losses regardless of what happens since he is still Jaime Pollard). At the end of the day someone is going to end up being the goat in all of this. In that vein, I present the top ten bigest potential losers at the end of expansion.
10. Boise State: The Broncos were put on hold by the Mountain West this past week as the league waits to see what will happen with the Big XII. If the Big XII melts down, there isadistinct possibility that the Mountain West could say no thanks to Boise State and add more of the leftovers from the Big XII.
9. The Pac 10: How stupid will the Pac 10 look if they get turned down? Not as bad as the Big Ten will, but it is never good for big schools like Texas to reject you publicly. The Pac 10 doesn't need to look idiculous right now and a rejection from the Big XII would be pretty embarassing.
8. The SEC: The SEC is at a disadvantage when it comes to expansion, and if the Pac 10 taks the six previously mentioned Big XII teams, the pickings will be extremely slim. The ACC may not be the same in football competition but it is hardly a lame duck athletic conference and the academics in the ACC are a much bigger selling point than they are in the SEC. While the ACC certainly doesn't have the academic ties that the Pac 10 and the Big Ten have between their conference members, schools would potentially be looking at an academic downgrade by moving to the SEC, and that might keep moreacademically minded presidents like the ones at Miami and Georgia Tech from pulling the trigger on switching. If the league has to expand to keep up with the Big Ten and Pac10 the league will have an extremely difficult time keeping p.u
7. The ACC: As I mentioned, the ACC has an academic advantage over the SEC, but that doesn't make them completely immune. Schools like Clemson and Florida State are still viable targets for the SEC. Also, the ACC is the least equipped league to join in the arms race because the are financially the weakest link. The league could feast on the Big East remains once the Big Ten is done, but it will hardly command the kind of exposure, revenue, or fan support that the Big Ten, Pac 10, and SEC do.
6. The Big Ten: This has been built up to a boiling point and Jim Delaney is in the center of it all. If the Big Ten gets rejected the league will be facing a PR disaster and something that could do some real damage to a league with an already fragile reputation.
5. The Big East: Regardless of whether the Big Ten actually decides to raid the conference, the potential of losing Notre Dame,even innon-revenue sports, is a big problem. Not only that, but the threat of the ACC looms ever present. If the Big Ten and Pac10 do indeed expand to become super conferences, then the ACC will be inclined to raid the viable members of the Big East, something the league would probably not be able to recover from.
4. Baylor/ Colorado: Word is that the Texas school is hoping to piggyback it's way to the Pac 10 and edgeout the Buffalos. Not so fast, Colorado won't go quietly, and there is no indication that the Texas legislature will be able to force Texas to make Baylor part of the deal. One of these schools has to lose, and whoever it is likely ends up in the Mountain West or Conference USA.
3. Kansas: The Jayhawks seem to be grasping at strawsand it is a shame since they are hampered moreby geography than anything else. The fact that the state legislature is likely going to force KU to become a package deal with Kansas State. The Jayhawks could end up just about anywhere that isn't currently a major conference but that means ahuge step down in money.
2. Notre Dame: Just how much is independence a part of Notre Dame's identity? Enough that if theIrish toanounce intentions tojoin the Big Ten there could be serious threats of riots in South Bend. Notre Dame's identity is incredibly intertwined with the Independence. Losing that could have massive implications for the mystic of Notre Dame and theway that the athletic department is viewed in the future.
1. The rest of the Big XII: This is simple. Kansas State and Iowa State are in the worst position of anyone. they command no major revenue centers, have aboslutely no chance of being admitted to a major conference unless they are paired with their other in state institutions. At the end of the day, no matter what happens, this whole drama has shown to everyone that the Wildcats and Cyclones are expendable, and this could end up puttign a lot of pressureon the universities to makesurethatthey areina better position ofstrength next time around, if there is a next time.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Phil Steele Releases Pre Season All American Teams

For those of you who don't recognize Phil Steele, the guy is the guru of college football.  He is usually fairly accurate as to his preseason predictions and what he says carries a lot of weight, particularly at this time of the year.  Steele's release of his pre season All Big XII and All-American teams is getting quite a bit of buzz around the college football landscape because of the various inclusions and omissions and, in light of the horrible weather cancelling Iowa's baseball game against Purdue, I would like to throw in a couple notes on his list.  Obviously Phil Steele is far more accurate than everyone (you too ESPN) including myself but the man is not infallible (see him predicting Illinois as the number 3 team in the Big Ten last season).  So here are my thoughts on Phil's preseason All American teams.

All-America team preview

- My biggest complaint, of this entire list, is the inclusion of Ohio State wide receiver DeVier Posey.  This one perplexes me quite a bit because Posey wasn't even top five in his conference last season.  Indiana, Iowa, Penn State, and Michigan State all have at least one receiver returning who was a bigger asset to their team than Posey was to the Buckeyes last year.  The guy has skills, and maybe this has something to do with the touchdown pass he threw against NewMexico State last season, but I just don't see him having a big enough impact on this team to be an All-American.  The Buckeyes like to run the ball and they have the offensive line to grind it out.  Posey isn't an undefendable superfreak which means corners will jam him, he will get stuck in traffic, and he still hasn't figured out how to become an elite wide receiver.  He has potential, but right now I think this is a huuuuuuge  stretch for him, especially when the rest of the Buckeye receiving corps is losing a number of veterans.  Tandon Doss, Marvin McNutt, DJK, Mark Dell, these are just some of the receivers who will likely put up bigger number and be bigger factors for their team in the Big Ten than Posey.

- Sticking with the Buckeyes on the list, I think I would switch Terrel Pryor and Justin  Boren.  Boren is a physical freak who will be a sure fire NFL prospect.  Stefan Wisniewski of Penn State is a great lineman but I would swap him and Boren because of how dominant Boren figures to be along a dangerous Buckeye line.  Pryor as a first team AA player will certainly draw some controversy, but I can see where this is coming from.  Pryor looksready for a breakout year and there just aren't many returning quarterbacks who look like they will be capable of getting the statistics and the wins they would need to earn the 1st team AA spot.  That being said, Case Keenum and Houston look poised to put up all kinds of nasty numbers and I think he will be the better quarterback.  Also, how Cameron Heyward got supplanted by Robert Quinn as a first team DE I will never understand.

- I would swap Evan Royster and La'Michael James.  James was by far the bigger X-factor for his team last year and with Oregon losing Jeremiah Masoli James should figure to have an even bigger role this season.  Royster certainly deserves to be on this list but it isn't like he is setting the world on fire.  His feet are painfully slow and he seems to lack an identity as a runner.  The fact that he has been so succesful in spite of those things is certainly impressive, but it doesn't mean he is the better player.

- Mark Barron?  Robert Sands?  Really?  Maybe it is just my homerism or my love of safeties who play like center fielder-shark hybrids but Tyler Sash should be swapped with one of those guys.

- Kyle Rudolph = OVERRATED.  The guy is a solid player but he might as well be playing offensive tackle in new Notre Dame coach Chip Kelly's system.  DJ Williams and Lance Kendricks could both claim the no.1 spot instead of Rudolph but given what Wisconsin has traditionally done with the position and Kendricks' raw talent I think he will be in the top spot by the end of the year.

- I don't know much about everyone's punter but I am uneasy about putting Ryan Donahue that high up.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Pre Season Top 25 Vol. 1

So here are my preseason top 25 teams for the 2010 season.  This will be updated around late July or but I think that the current list is fairly well set outside of the 20-25 spots.

1. Ohio State: Call me Big Ten biased, but if the Buckeyes take care of business on the road against Iowa and Wisconsin, they win the conference, and likely finish with no more than one loss. Now, this is not an unflawed Ohio State squad. The offensive line still needs to turn a corner and some skill position players need to step up and assert themselves more to make this attack more than mediocre. I think the Buckeyes defense is great aside from safety, which is not a huge weakness but could potentially limit the blitzing schemes Ohio State uses. However, in comparison to everyone else, the Buckeyes are, at least on paper, the best.


2. Boise State: How good are the Broncos? They return pretty much every starter except stud corner back Kyle Wilson from a team that was undefeated last year. But who did they play worth mentioning? Yeah they beat Oregon at home, but the Ducks were hardly a juggernaut, especially compared to the big boys who came out of the SEC and Big XII last year. How good Virginia Tech will be is debatable, but beating them in Landover on the opening Thursday night should grab enough votes to maybe break into the National Championship game if the Broncos go undefeated. The problem with that is that the Broncos better hope the Hokies, and the ACC, perform better than they did last year or else there will still be that “Yeah but…..” attached to the Broncos record.

3. Florida: What?!?!?!?! He didn’t pick the Crimson Tide? No, I didn’t. Sorry but recruiting athletes and talking about how Nick Saban is a genius doesn’t really make up for how many holes this defense has. You will not win a National Title, let alone an SEC championship, without strong, experienced, defense. Florida needs to find an offense with a punch but I think new QB Brantly will actually be a breath of fresh air. The kid is a pocket passer who can scramble if he has to, which should work great for Urban Meyer who lacked the explosiveness last year he needed to make up for Tim Tebow’s inability to become an elite level passer. The Gators are flawed but enough guys come back to move through a rebuilding SEC.

4. Southern California: Monte Kiffin might be the greatest thing that ever happens on this defense. With this kind of talent, and his son’s ability to coach quarterbacks, the Trojans are a rebuilt offensive line away from a National Title run. Oregon will be a test, but it is one that the Trojans will face at home and nobody else on the schedule looks ready to beat USC. There have been questions about the talent level on the Trojans, but this team with the level of coaching this staff brings, which, despite the mocking from the SEC, is extremely good, is going to be a monster again.

5. Alabama: Look, experience matters. Alabama is going to be restocking the shelves with a lot of guys who just don’t have the experience to do what last year’s phenomenal squad did. Nick Saban is a great coach but he is a notoriously conservative coach who focuses on time of possession. Having an experienced defense is a big part of making that strategy successful and that just isn’t something Alabama has right now. Also, what is really overhyped about this team is the returning starters on offense. Mark Ingram is good, but he wasn’t even statistically the best player at his position last year, despite the fact that few running backs had great years. Greg McElroy was decent, but he wasn’t a major threat unless teams had to sell out to stop the run, and most of the teams listed in the top ten will be able to do that. The Tide will probably be in a BCS bowl game, but they will likely be in there with two losses.

Monday, May 17, 2010

Happy Hour: The Return of the Previews and Expansion speculation

DAILY SPECIAL: Since finals week began there have been a few big happenings along the preview circuit.  CFN has started releasing their team by team previews, so far Big Ten teams Indiana and Northwestern have been previewed as well as nearby Big XII team Kansas.  These are usually worth the read so if you hav the time to flip through the links that preview the offense and defense I would recoomend it.

The Rivalry Esq continues it's team by team conference preview with a week solely devoted to the Hawkeyes.  It's a good write up and there will be new posts every morning so you should be reading them.

BHGP is breaking down the Hawkeyes position by position and started with the Manzi at quarterback.

Corn Nation discusses Iowa and the role the Hawkeyes will play if the Huskers join the Big Ten.  Not a bad read if you want Big Red's perspective on the Black and Gold.

Saturday, May 15, 2010

No Beer Today

No Beer Today,
No Beer Today,
'Cause There's No Beer On Sunday
No Beer Today
No Beer Today
You'll Have To Come Back On Monday


Finals are over and Monday marks the first weekday of summer break. Sunday I will be out watching the Iowa baseball team.  If you haven't heard, the Hawks are two games behind the league leader and could sweep Ohio State (a very good baseball team) with a win on Sunday.

Monday we will have the usual Iowa sports wrap-up including a nod to former KRUI sports director Jordan Loperena.  Later this week we will have my preseason top 25, some early team previews,  and a preview of next weekends baseball matchup against Purdue (it's a big one).  In the mean time relax, enjoy the weekend, and Go Hawks.