1) National Championship
2) National Championship
3) Bowl that lost a representative to the first NC pick
4) Bowl that lost a representative to the second NC pick
5) Sugar Bowl
6) Orange Bowl
7) Fiesta Bowl
Remember that the Rose Bowl, if it loses the Big Ten or Pac 10 representative must take the first non-AQ school.
Boise State won't get a big bump anymore after Nevada lost to Hawaii, but I am starting to question whether TCU and Utah will finish undefeated so I will put the Broncos here. yes the Buckeyes lost, but if they win out and Iowa takes care of buisness against Sparty they will return to Pasadena.
LSU isn't flashy but I think their defense gives them the edge over Auburn and that puts them here. The Sooners remain my at-large choice since I think they will lose the Big XII Championship Game.
Florida State won again this weekend and looks to have a pretty winnable schedule through the rest of ACC play. I am fairly sure the Hawkeyes will beat Sparty and considering the Orange Bowl's relationship with Iowa (selected over Penn State last year, sent five rep's to Kinnick for homecoming this year) I think the Hawkeyes will jump the Spartans even if MSU finishes 11-1.
I know I have had TCU here for a while but I continue to be convinced that they will fall to Utah who will then lose the next week at Notre Dame. If that happens I think the Big East Champ will end up here against the Big XII champ. Nebraska lost to Texas but if they continue to run through the North it won't matter and I think they end up here.
I think Auburn is the odd man out of the three top SEC West teams and that plops them here. MSU has to beat Iowa to lock down a BCS bid but I don't think that will happen. I wouldn't be surprised if MSU lost to the Hawkeyes and someone else before the season finished.
Florida has been extremely dissapointing but a win over South Carolina in the Swamp will make them the best in the East and that puts them here. I think Wisconsin drops a game or two still this season and that makes them prime candidates to fill the Big Ten's bid here.
I picked Michigan here last week and that was in anticipation of them losing Saturday. the Bulldogs huge win over Florida last week moves them up in my bowl selection with three or four winnable games left on the schedule.
Northwestern has a deceptively difficult road ahead of them and i think they will drop a couple games. Nonetheless, I think they still stand above the bottom of the pack. Missouri lands here as the second best squad from the Big XII North.
The Hoosiers are still capable of scrapping out six wins and I think that puts them here. Northern Illinois has an easy ride through the rest of the MAC and even if they drop a championship game rematch with Temple I think they get the picked up here.
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